Democrats Guarantee Biden’s 2024 Victory?

Gage Skidmore from Peoria, AZ, United States of America, CC BY-SA 2.0 , via Wikimedia Commons

( – Democratic strategist Simon Rosenberg recently expressed a confident outlook for the Democratic Party in the upcoming 2024 election, countering the notion that they might be outplayed. In an MSNBC op-ed, Rosenberg highlighted the successes of President Biden’s tenure and predicted that former President Trump’s challenges could be detrimental to the Republican Party’s chances.

Rosenberg emphasized President Biden’s achievement in leading the nation through the pandemic and into a period of economic recovery, marked by GDP growth and a strong job market. He also noted historical lows in the uninsured rate in the U.S., record highs in the Dow Jones, and declines in gas prices, crime rates, and rent prices.

Despite acknowledging the difficulties faced in recent years, including the pandemic, the Capitol insurrection, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, and persistent inflation, Rosenberg maintained that the U.S. is emerging from these challenges in a better position than when Biden assumed office.

Contradicting other political analysts who cite Biden’s low approval ratings as a potential hindrance to his re-election campaign, Rosenberg pointed to the Democratic Party’s track record of garnering more votes than the GOP in most recent presidential elections. He also referenced the Democrats’ performance in battleground states in the 2022 and 2023 elections, which helped minimize the Republican majority in the House and maintain a Democratic Senate majority.

Rosenberg described the recent successes of the Democratic Party across the U.S. as a “blue wave,” suggesting that this momentum should boost confidence among Biden’s supporters.

Conversely, Rosenberg highlighted Trump’s challenges, including his association with the MAGA movement’s electoral setbacks and legal issues. He argued that Trump’s actions, including his response to the 2020 election results and the overturning of Roe v. Wade, have made him a more extreme and divisive figure than in 2020.

Rosenberg also touched on concerns regarding both potential candidates in a 2024 rematch. Biden, who would be 86 at the end of a second term, has faced criticism over his age and leadership capabilities. Meanwhile, Trump’s legal troubles and controversial statements have led to calls for new leadership within the Republican Party. Despite these challenges, Rosenberg seemed to lean towards a more favorable outlook for the Democrats in the upcoming election.

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